The conflict between the environmentalists and the political activists about global warming causes and the impact of human activity on rising global temperatures, seems to have been rekindled once again by a controversial report by the Japan Society of Energy and Resources (JSER).

Three of the five researchers who conducted the extensive study concluded that global warming was majorly a cause of the natural heating and cooling cycle. And that we humans, had little or no impact on that matter.

While the report didn’t cause any major uproar in the west, it seems only a matter of time before theories start flying again.

In what is a very harsh reply to the accepted global warming theory, the report focuses on what it claims to be the immaturity of simulation work cited in support of the theory of anthropogenic climate change.

Giving a detailed account of temperature change and its causes, the current cycle of the global temperature rise, is attributed to the last small ice age that has reportedly ended by 2000. While three of the five scientists seem to claim that the hot and uneven weather patterns in the last decade are not a result of CO2 emissions by human activity, it also fails to explain why the temperatures seem to still be on the rise after the predicted natural cycle has ended.

Irrespective of the validity of the theory (Bill is waving for it being true), such notions and conclusions may be bad for environment because they could stop encouraging people to go green.

Image by softpixtechie

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We are all aware by now of the effects of global warming which is soon to cause a major hazard to the earth. Unless and until we make efforts to stop or reduce greenhouse emissions we are to witness a complete shift in the ecological balance.

According to David Jones the head of climate analysis at the Bureau of Meteorology the severe droughts affecting the south-west Western Australia, south-east South Australia, Victoria and northern Tasmania have been the worst in centuries.

The temperatures are higher than the normal drought, showing a degree that clearly tells us that global warming has begun to take its toll.

Jones also specifies that every one degree of warming will decrease the runoff water by 15%. Rainfall has been close to nil for a long time now. If we do not act fast we will witness the destruction of our earth in front of our very own eyes. – via ClimateProgess

Image via Georgie Sharp

What was the coolest year, in the last 5 years? The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) has the answer and apparently 2008 is. Even though we’re above historical averages after the first 6 months, the forecast is clear and temperatures will be the coolest of the past five years.

I don’t think this is something encouraging, because the Earth is still globally warming. The recent lower figures are attributed to La Nina (”the little girl” in Spannish) which followed the warmer El Nino. However, Climate scientists caution that La Nina is weakening and the second part of the year could become much warmer than expected.

Greenhouse gas emissions are still there and causing global warming so we shouldn’t celebrate as the past decade was the hottest of all times (or at least since 1850 when they started recording).

How is/was the weather in your part of the world?

Image courtesy of robertoriccobelli

The Goddard Space Flight Center under NASA has concluded that declines in rainfall on the eastern seaboard countries of Africa – Ethiopia, Malawi, Kenya, Tanzania, Zambia and Zimbabwe, happened because of irregularities in the transport of moisture between the ocean and land.

Computer models and observations over a half century were analyzed and the result – eastern Africa rainfall has declined by 15% since the 1980s. Rainfall and temperature increases over the ocean were also linked to a rainfall decline.

“We can be quite certain that the decline in rainfall has been substantial and will continue to be,” said a co-researcher, ” This 15-percent decrease every 20-25 years is likely to continue.”

He’s not only a climatologists (fancy word for weather guesser) he is also a prophet. Tell me, how can a weatherman who cannot predict the temps next week know what the weather will be like in 20-25 years? He can’t do it.

Meanwhile, East African umbrella making companies are hoping for a second opinion.

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